What does this skill do?

Skill’s Prediction Market Intelligence researches events, platforms, liquidity, and news context in prediction markets such as Polymarket, Kalshi, and Itô. It generates structured, read-only intelligence briefs that include comparisons of underliers, fees, resolution criteria, and open-ended questions, always with the disclaimer that this is market intelligence and not financial advice.

Brief for a Specific Event
Generate a context report on a specific event on any forecasting platform, including a summary, underlying factors, and news sources.
Comparison of Platforms
Compare Polymarket, Kalshi, and Itô in terms of liquidity, fees, resolution criteria, and data latency.
Exploration of Itô Baskets
Discover relevant themes and events within Itô's baskets over a specific time period.
Live data from Itô
Query the read-only endpoints of the Itô API when you have an ITO_API_KEY to enrich the brief with real-time data.

Usage examples

🔍 Event Brief
Give me a brief overview of the prediction markets related to the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
⚖️ Platform Comparison
Compare Polymarket, Kalshi, and Itô in terms of liquidity, fees, and settlement criteria for election markets.
🗂️ Exploration of Itô Baskets
Check out the themes available in Itô's baskets for the next three months and let me know which events are the most popular.
📡 Live data from Itô
Use my ITO_API_KEY to check Itô's open markets related to elections and generate a brief with real-time data.

Features

Event Detection Identify relevant events on forecasting platforms using public documentation and accessible APIs.
Cross-Platform Standardization Align discrepancies in underliers, liquidity, fees, and resolution criteria to enable valid comparisons.
Read-only access to Itô Query read-only endpoints of the Itô API when ITO_API_KEY is set, without performing any operations.
Integrated News Context Gather public sources, news, and social media posts to enrich the brief with verifiable links.
Structured brief with a warning Generate a concise report that includes a summary, platforms, liquidity warnings, open-ended questions, and the required disclaimer stating that this is not financial advice.

Frequently asked questions

No. The skill is read-only and provides market insights. It always ends with a disclaimer stating that it does not constitute financial or trading advice.
Primarily Polymarket, Kalshi, and Itô, but it can be adapted to other prediction platforms if public data sources or access to their APIs are available.
It is not required. Without the key, the skill works with public sources. If you request live data from Itô and no key is configured, you will be notified that you need delegated access.
Yes. It integrates with Deep-Research or Exa-Search for source discovery, X-API for social signals, and Prediction-Market-Risk-Review for risk assessment prior to any capital flows.
Predictive Market Intelligence — Analysis of Predictive Platforms with Claude AI

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